Current forecast models project a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on September 24 under typical late-September subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to partial cloud cover. This range aligns with climatological norms for the region and recent observational trends showing stable overnight lows near 26°C absent strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes highlight genuine short-term uncertainty in model consensus on wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could alter cooling rates. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日の深センの最低気温は？
9月24日の深センの最低気温は？
21℃以下 100%
31℃以上 98%
25℃ 40%
26℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
21℃以下
100%
22℃
37%
23℃
37%
24°C
37%
25℃
40%
26℃
40%
27°C
40%
28℃
8%
29℃
38%
30℃
38%
31℃以上
98%
21℃以下 100%
31℃以上 98%
25℃ 40%
26℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
22℃
$0 Vol.
37%
23℃
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25℃
$0 Vol.
40%
26℃
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28℃
$0 Vol.
8%
29℃
$0 Vol.
38%
30℃
$0 Vol.
38%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on September 24 under typical late-September subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to partial cloud cover. This range aligns with climatological norms for the region and recent observational trends showing stable overnight lows near 26°C absent strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes highlight genuine short-term uncertainty in model consensus on wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could alter cooling rates. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on September 24 under typical late-September subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to partial cloud cover. This range aligns with climatological norms for the region and recent observational trends showing stable overnight lows near 26°C absent strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes highlight genuine short-term uncertainty in model consensus on wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could alter cooling rates. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models project a Shenzhen minimum temperature of 25–27°C on September 24 under typical late-September subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to partial cloud cover. This range aligns with climatological norms for the region and recent observational trends showing stable overnight lows near 26°C absent strong frontal passages or typhoon influences. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes highlight genuine short-term uncertainty in model consensus on wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could alter cooling rates. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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