With Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 under proportional representation fast approaching, recent polls from independent firms like Medián (March 20) and Republikon (March 26) place Mi Hazánk firmly third in national vote intentions at 4-5%, trailing Tisza (49-58% among decided voters) and Fidesz-KDNP (35-40%) while ahead of fragmented opposition parties including DK, MSZP, and Momentum. Government pollsters such as Nézőpont show tighter top-two races but similarly rank Mi Hazánk third at 8%. This polling consistency amid Tisza's expanding lead drives trader consensus, though undecided voters, turnout dynamics, and potential coalition negotiations post-election introduce uncertainty for seat allocation.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Hungarian_parliamentary_election)[[2]](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/hungary)[[3]](https://politpro.eu/en/hungary)
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 85%
Momentum 2.6%
MSZP 1.9%
Fidesz-KDNP 1.4%
$13,566 Vol.
$13,566 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
85%
Momentum
3%
MSZP
2%
Fidesz-KDNP
1%
LMP
1%
Párbeszéd
1%
DK
1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Mi Hazánk 85%
Momentum 2.6%
MSZP 1.9%
Fidesz-KDNP 1.4%
$13,566 Vol.
$13,566 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
$8,401 Vol.
85%
Momentum
$925 Vol.
3%
MSZP
$582 Vol.
2%
Fidesz-KDNP
$631 Vol.
1%
LMP
$674 Vol.
1%
Párbeszéd
$602 Vol.
1%
DK
$634 Vol.
1%
TISZA
$595 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.With Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 under proportional representation fast approaching, recent polls from independent firms like Medián (March 20) and Republikon (March 26) place Mi Hazánk firmly third in national vote intentions at 4-5%, trailing Tisza (49-58% among decided voters) and Fidesz-KDNP (35-40%) while ahead of fragmented opposition parties including DK, MSZP, and Momentum. Government pollsters such as Nézőpont show tighter top-two races but similarly rank Mi Hazánk third at 8%. This polling consistency amid Tisza's expanding lead drives trader consensus, though undecided voters, turnout dynamics, and potential coalition negotiations post-election introduce uncertainty for seat allocation.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Hungarian_parliamentary_election)[[2]](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/hungary)[[3]](https://politpro.eu/en/hungary)
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
音量
$13,566終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.With Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 under proportional representation fast approaching, recent polls from independent firms like Medián (March 20) and Republikon (March 26) place Mi Hazánk firmly third in national vote intentions at 4-5%, trailing Tisza (49-58% among decided voters) and Fidesz-KDNP (35-40%) while ahead of fragmented opposition parties including DK, MSZP, and Momentum. Government pollsters such as Nézőpont show tighter top-two races but similarly rank Mi Hazánk third at 8%. This polling consistency amid Tisza's expanding lead drives trader consensus, though undecided voters, turnout dynamics, and potential coalition negotiations post-election introduce uncertainty for seat allocation.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Hungarian_parliamentary_election)[[2]](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/hungary)[[3]](https://politpro.eu/en/hungary)
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
音量
$13,566終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 under proportional representation fast approaching, recent polls from independent firms like Medián (March 20) and Republikon (March 26) place Mi Hazánk firmly third in national vote intentions at 4-5%, trailing Tisza (49-58% among decided voters) and Fidesz-KDNP (35-40%) while ahead of fragmented opposition parties including DK, MSZP, and Momentum. Government pollsters such as Nézőpont show tighter top-two races but similarly rank Mi Hazánk third at 8%. This polling consistency amid Tisza's expanding lead drives trader consensus, though undecided voters, turnout dynamics, and potential coalition negotiations post-election introduce uncertainty for seat allocation.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Hungarian_parliamentary_election)[[2]](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/hungary)[[3]](https://politpro.eu/en/hungary)
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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