Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and scattered thunderstorms, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–24°C in Beijing on August 21. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including lingering monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, have kept recent observed lows above the long-term August average of 21°C, with latest runs showing limited overnight drops. These conditions explain trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 60% implied probability, while cooler thresholds below 20°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current projections. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の北京の最低気温は？
8月21日の北京の最低気温は？
22℃ 57%
18℃以下 56%
19℃ 38%
20°C 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
18℃以下
56%
19℃
38%
20°C
36%
21℃
36%
22℃
57%
23°C
42%
24℃
59%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
22℃ 57%
18℃以下 56%
19℃ 38%
20°C 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
18℃以下
$40 Vol.
56%
19℃
$32 Vol.
38%
20°C
$92 Vol.
36%
21℃
$92 Vol.
36%
22℃
$87 Vol.
57%
23°C
$305 Vol.
42%
24℃
$110 Vol.
59%
25°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
28°C以上
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and scattered thunderstorms, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–24°C in Beijing on August 21. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including lingering monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, have kept recent observed lows above the long-term August average of 21°C, with latest runs showing limited overnight drops. These conditions explain trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 60% implied probability, while cooler thresholds below 20°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current projections. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
音量
$1,123終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and scattered thunderstorms, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–24°C in Beijing on August 21. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including lingering monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, have kept recent observed lows above the long-term August average of 21°C, with latest runs showing limited overnight drops. These conditions explain trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 60% implied probability, while cooler thresholds below 20°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current projections. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,123終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and scattered thunderstorms, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–24°C in Beijing on August 21. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including lingering monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, have kept recent observed lows above the long-term August average of 21°C, with latest runs showing limited overnight drops. These conditions explain trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 60% implied probability, while cooler thresholds below 20°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current projections. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問