Forecast models for Chengdu on September 13 show a likely overnight minimum near 17–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and weak winds that limit radiative cooling after a daytime high around 24–26°C. Recent runs from global ensembles highlight modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer humidity, keeping probabilities clustered across the 15–24°C range rather than favoring extremes. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but the current moist, overcast pattern supports slightly cooler values. Traders weigh these dynamics against the final official station reading, with new model updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の成都の最低気温は?
14°C以下 97%
15℃ 40%
16℃ 40%
18°C 25%
14°C以下
97%
15℃
40%
16℃
40%
17℃
22%
18°C
25%
19℃
22%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
14°C以下 97%
15℃ 40%
16℃ 40%
18°C 25%
14°C以下
97%
15℃
40%
16℃
40%
17℃
22%
18°C
25%
19℃
22%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Chengdu on September 13 show a likely overnight minimum near 17–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and weak winds that limit radiative cooling after a daytime high around 24–26°C. Recent runs from global ensembles highlight modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer humidity, keeping probabilities clustered across the 15–24°C range rather than favoring extremes. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but the current moist, overcast pattern supports slightly cooler values. Traders weigh these dynamics against the final official station reading, with new model updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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