Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as those referenced by Yr and WeatherBug indicate a September 14 overnight low near 21°C for Chongqing, driven by widespread cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 65-80%. Persistent overcast conditions and a chance of light rain or drizzle further moderate temperature drops, while the city's basin topography can trap warmer air near the surface. Trader consensus reflects this central tendency alongside uncertainty from model spread on exact cloud timing and any late northerly surge, keeping probabilities for 20°C and 26°C+ outcomes nearly even. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will likely clarify thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の重慶の最低気温は?
26°C以上 67%
17℃ 40%
18°C 40%
23℃ 40%
16℃以下
32%
17℃
40%
18°C
40%
19℃
22%
20℃
22%
21℃
34%
22℃
22%
23℃
40%
24℃
40%
25℃
40%
26°C以上
67%
26°C以上 67%
17℃ 40%
18°C 40%
23℃ 40%
16℃以下
32%
17℃
40%
18°C
40%
19℃
22%
20℃
22%
21℃
34%
22℃
22%
23℃
40%
24℃
40%
25℃
40%
26°C以上
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as those referenced by Yr and WeatherBug indicate a September 14 overnight low near 21°C for Chongqing, driven by widespread cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 65-80%. Persistent overcast conditions and a chance of light rain or drizzle further moderate temperature drops, while the city's basin topography can trap warmer air near the surface. Trader consensus reflects this central tendency alongside uncertainty from model spread on exact cloud timing and any late northerly surge, keeping probabilities for 20°C and 26°C+ outcomes nearly even. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will likely clarify thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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