Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 1 stems from diverging global model guidance on the arrival and strength of a mid-latitude frontal boundary interacting with subtropical moisture. Ensemble runs show variable timing of cooler northerly flow versus persistent warm, humid southerly air, producing a bimodal distribution where daily lows could dip to 20 °C or below under stronger cold advection or remain near or above 30 °C if the front stalls. Historical September climatology places average minimums near 24–26 °C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which traders monitor for shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and precipitation timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の広州の最低気温は？
9月1日の広州の最低気温は？
30°C or higher 96%
20°C or below 93%
24°C 50%
27°C 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
20°C or below
93%
21°C
47%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C or higher
96%
30°C or higher 96%
20°C or below 93%
24°C 50%
27°C 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 1 stems from diverging global model guidance on the arrival and strength of a mid-latitude frontal boundary interacting with subtropical moisture. Ensemble runs show variable timing of cooler northerly flow versus persistent warm, humid southerly air, producing a bimodal distribution where daily lows could dip to 20 °C or below under stronger cold advection or remain near or above 30 °C if the front stalls. Historical September climatology places average minimums near 24–26 °C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which traders monitor for shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 1 stems from diverging global model guidance on the arrival and strength of a mid-latitude frontal boundary interacting with subtropical moisture. Ensemble runs show variable timing of cooler northerly flow versus persistent warm, humid southerly air, producing a bimodal distribution where daily lows could dip to 20 °C or below under stronger cold advection or remain near or above 30 °C if the front stalls. Historical September climatology places average minimums near 24–26 °C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which traders monitor for shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 1 stems from diverging global model guidance on the arrival and strength of a mid-latitude frontal boundary interacting with subtropical moisture. Ensemble runs show variable timing of cooler northerly flow versus persistent warm, humid southerly air, producing a bimodal distribution where daily lows could dip to 20 °C or below under stronger cold advection or remain near or above 30 °C if the front stalls. Historical September climatology places average minimums near 24–26 °C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which traders monitor for shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and precipitation timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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