Persistent convective activity and extensive cloud cover over Guangzhou are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered near the climatological average of 25°C for late August. Multiple forecast models show light easterly to northeasterly winds, high humidity above 90 percent, and repeated thunderstorm passages that limit surface heat loss, producing a narrow range of expected lows between 24–27°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to these outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger clearing or drier air would allow greater cooling toward 23°C or below. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の広州の最低気温は?
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
24°C 26%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
50%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
24°C 26%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
50%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent convective activity and extensive cloud cover over Guangzhou are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered near the climatological average of 25°C for late August. Multiple forecast models show light easterly to northeasterly winds, high humidity above 90 percent, and repeated thunderstorm passages that limit surface heat loss, producing a narrow range of expected lows between 24–27°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to these outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger clearing or drier air would allow greater cooling toward 23°C or below. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問