The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日の香港の最低気温は?
27°C 100%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$17,299 Vol.
$17,299 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
27°C 100%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$17,299 Vol.
$17,299 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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