Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Jinan experienced clear, calm overnight conditions on September 10-11 conducive to strong radiative cooling, supporting the market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a daily minimum of 12°C or below. Dry air masses and light winds under high pressure promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, consistent with typical early autumn patterns in the North China Plain where nocturnal drops of 10–15°C from daytime highs are common. Official station data or refined model runs likely confirmed this trajectory, aligning trader consensus with skin-in-the-game assessment of local observations. A warmer-than-expected boundary layer or measurement variance at the primary reporting station could still shift the recorded low above 12°C, though such revisions appear unlikely given the consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の済南の最低気温は?
12℃以下 99.0%
14℃ <1%
13℃ <1%
15℃ <1%
12℃以下
99%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
12℃以下 99.0%
14℃ <1%
13℃ <1%
15℃ <1%
12℃以下
99%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Jinan experienced clear, calm overnight conditions on September 10-11 conducive to strong radiative cooling, supporting the market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a daily minimum of 12°C or below. Dry air masses and light winds under high pressure promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, consistent with typical early autumn patterns in the North China Plain where nocturnal drops of 10–15°C from daytime highs are common. Official station data or refined model runs likely confirmed this trajectory, aligning trader consensus with skin-in-the-game assessment of local observations. A warmer-than-expected boundary layer or measurement variance at the primary reporting station could still shift the recorded low above 12°C, though such revisions appear unlikely given the consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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