Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日のロンドンの最低気温は?
13°C 100.0%
9°C以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
9°C以下
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
はい
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C以上
いいえ
13°C 100.0%
9°C以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
9°C以下
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
はい
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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