Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?
13℃ 100.0%
7°C以下 <1%
8℃ <1%
9℃ <1%
$22,080 Vol.
$22,080 Vol.
7°C以下
いいえ
8℃
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
はい
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃以上
いいえ
13℃ 100.0%
7°C以下 <1%
8℃ <1%
9℃ <1%
$22,080 Vol.
$22,080 Vol.
7°C以下
いいえ
8℃
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
はい
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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