**Latest Met Office and model guidance for London on September 18, 2026, points to a minimum temperature of 12°C, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies with limited clear periods overnight, and dew points near 11–12°C have kept readings from falling further, consistent with observed values around 16°C earlier in the evening and statistical September lows near 11–13°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station and 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office or equivalent authority. A sharper-than-expected radiative cooling under any clearing skies or a shift to lighter winds could push the low a degree or two lower, though current guidance and real-time observations make such a move unlikely before the day closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のロンドンの最低気温は?
12℃ 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$6,885 Vol.
$6,885 Vol.
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
はい
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C以上
いいえ
12℃ 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$6,885 Vol.
$6,885 Vol.
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
はい
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Latest Met Office and model guidance for London on September 18, 2026, points to a minimum temperature of 12°C, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies with limited clear periods overnight, and dew points near 11–12°C have kept readings from falling further, consistent with observed values around 16°C earlier in the evening and statistical September lows near 11–13°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station and 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office or equivalent authority. A sharper-than-expected radiative cooling under any clearing skies or a shift to lighter winds could push the low a degree or two lower, though current guidance and real-time observations make such a move unlikely before the day closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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