Official Met Office guidance and converging model runs forecast a minimum near 11°C overnight in London under clearing skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 21–22°C, yet moderate winds and urban heat retention introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across 13–16°C outcomes. Historical September minima around 10–12°C provide context, while traders weigh potential model revisions and local station readings before dawn resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月20日のロンドンの最低気温は？
14°C 42%
15℃ 32%
16°C 15%
13℃ 7%
$7,224 Vol.
$7,224 Vol.
2026/09/20
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
3%
13℃
7%
14°C
34%
15℃
21%
16°C
15%
17℃
5%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
14°C 42%
15℃ 32%
16°C 15%
13℃ 7%
$7,224 Vol.
$7,224 Vol.
2026/09/20
9℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$31 Vol.
1%
11℃
$36 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$51 Vol.
3%
13℃
$1,876 Vol.
7%
14°C
$1,737 Vol.
34%
15℃
$2,200 Vol.
21%
16°C
$518 Vol.
15%
17℃
$221 Vol.
5%
18℃
$46 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance and converging model runs forecast a minimum near 11°C overnight in London under clearing skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 21–22°C, yet moderate winds and urban heat retention introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across 13–16°C outcomes. Historical September minima around 10–12°C provide context, while traders weigh potential model revisions and local station readings before dawn resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$7,224終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance and converging model runs forecast a minimum near 11°C overnight in London under clearing skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 21–22°C, yet moderate winds and urban heat retention introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across 13–16°C outcomes. Historical September minima around 10–12°C provide context, while traders weigh potential model revisions and local station readings before dawn resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,224終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOfficial Met Office guidance and converging model runs forecast a minimum near 11°C overnight in London under clearing skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 21–22°C, yet moderate winds and urban heat retention introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across 13–16°C outcomes. Historical September minima around 10–12°C provide context, while traders weigh potential model revisions and local station readings before dawn resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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