**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 12 minimum temperature reflects typical late-monsoon conditions, with forecasts centering on 26–27°C and limited scope for sharp drops.** Multiple official and model sources, including IMD outlooks and numerical guidance, indicate a nighttime low near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F) amid high humidity, easterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and moisture from the active monsoon suppress radiative cooling, a key physical process that normally allows clearer nights to reach lower minima. The closely matched probabilities around 25–27°C align with this consensus, while the elevated weighting on 21°C or below likely captures residual uncertainty from variable rain timing or localized model spread rather than observed trends. Historical September lows in Lucknow rarely fall below 24–25°C under similar regimes, and current atmospheric conditions—elevated dew points near 27°C and persistent cloudiness—make substantial further cooling unlikely without an atypical clear, dry spell. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by IMD stations through the night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のラクナウの最低気温は?
21°C以下 100%
26℃ 49%
25°C 48%
24°C 19%
21°C以下
100%
22℃
<1%
23℃
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
48%
26℃
49%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
21°C以下 100%
26℃ 49%
25°C 48%
24°C 19%
21°C以下
100%
22℃
<1%
23℃
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
48%
26℃
49%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 12 minimum temperature reflects typical late-monsoon conditions, with forecasts centering on 26–27°C and limited scope for sharp drops.** Multiple official and model sources, including IMD outlooks and numerical guidance, indicate a nighttime low near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F) amid high humidity, easterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and moisture from the active monsoon suppress radiative cooling, a key physical process that normally allows clearer nights to reach lower minima. The closely matched probabilities around 25–27°C align with this consensus, while the elevated weighting on 21°C or below likely captures residual uncertainty from variable rain timing or localized model spread rather than observed trends. Historical September lows in Lucknow rarely fall below 24–25°C under similar regimes, and current atmospheric conditions—elevated dew points near 27°C and persistent cloudiness—make substantial further cooling unlikely without an atypical clear, dry spell. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by IMD stations through the night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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