Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のメキシコシティの最低気温は?
15℃ 100%
7℃以下 <1%
8℃ <1%
9°C <1%
$1,282 Vol.
$1,282 Vol.
7℃以下
いいえ
8℃
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
はい
16℃
いいえ
17℃以上
いいえ
15℃ 100%
7℃以下 <1%
8℃ <1%
9°C <1%
$1,282 Vol.
$1,282 Vol.
7℃以下
いいえ
8℃
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
はい
16℃
いいえ
17℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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