Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 5 near 22–23°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the upper end of typical early-September climatology (historical lows near 17°C), though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight minima. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized urban cooling or model revisions against the strong consensus for warm advection, resulting in closely matched implied probabilities across mid-range outcomes while elevating the chance of an anomalous dip below 18°C. Updated runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のミラノの最低気温は？
9月5日のミラノの最低気温は？
15℃以下 69%
25°C以上 59%
16℃ 49%
20°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
15℃以下
69%
16℃
49%
17°C
26%
18℃
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21℃
49%
22℃
49%
23℃
2%
24℃
19%
25°C以上
59%
15℃以下 69%
25°C以上 59%
16℃ 49%
20°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
69%
16℃
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18℃
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21℃
$0 Vol.
49%
22℃
$0 Vol.
49%
23℃
$0 Vol.
2%
24℃
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C以上
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 5 near 22–23°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the upper end of typical early-September climatology (historical lows near 17°C), though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight minima. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized urban cooling or model revisions against the strong consensus for warm advection, resulting in closely matched implied probabilities across mid-range outcomes while elevating the chance of an anomalous dip below 18°C. Updated runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 5 near 22–23°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the upper end of typical early-September climatology (historical lows near 17°C), though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight minima. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized urban cooling or model revisions against the strong consensus for warm advection, resulting in closely matched implied probabilities across mid-range outcomes while elevating the chance of an anomalous dip below 18°C. Updated runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 5 near 22–23°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the upper end of typical early-September climatology (historical lows near 17°C), though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact overnight minima. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized urban cooling or model revisions against the strong consensus for warm advection, resulting in closely matched implied probabilities across mid-range outcomes while elevating the chance of an anomalous dip below 18°C. Updated runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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