Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ECMWF and GFS model runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Milan on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no significant frontal passages. This consensus aligns with seasonal norms for early September in the Po Valley, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by urban heat island effects and southerly flow. Market-implied odds favoring 13°C or below likely reflect trader emphasis on potential model divergence or localized measurement variability at official stations, while probabilities clustered around 16–21°C capture uncertainty in exact minimum timing and sensor resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from the Italian Meteorological Service and any revised NWP runs could shift sentiment if observed values deviate from the current 22°C baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のミラノの最低気温は？
9月3日のミラノの最低気温は？
13°C or below 84%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
18°C 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
13°C or below
84%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
29%
17°C
29%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 84%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
18°C 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
13°C or below
$62 Vol.
84%
14°C
$65 Vol.
2%
15°C
$282 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ECMWF and GFS model runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Milan on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no significant frontal passages. This consensus aligns with seasonal norms for early September in the Po Valley, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by urban heat island effects and southerly flow. Market-implied odds favoring 13°C or below likely reflect trader emphasis on potential model divergence or localized measurement variability at official stations, while probabilities clustered around 16–21°C capture uncertainty in exact minimum timing and sensor resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from the Italian Meteorological Service and any revised NWP runs could shift sentiment if observed values deviate from the current 22°C baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$601終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ECMWF and GFS model runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Milan on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no significant frontal passages. This consensus aligns with seasonal norms for early September in the Po Valley, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by urban heat island effects and southerly flow. Market-implied odds favoring 13°C or below likely reflect trader emphasis on potential model divergence or localized measurement variability at official stations, while probabilities clustered around 16–21°C capture uncertainty in exact minimum timing and sensor resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from the Italian Meteorological Service and any revised NWP runs could shift sentiment if observed values deviate from the current 22°C baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$601終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ECMWF and GFS model runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Milan on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no significant frontal passages. This consensus aligns with seasonal norms for early September in the Po Valley, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by urban heat island effects and southerly flow. Market-implied odds favoring 13°C or below likely reflect trader emphasis on potential model divergence or localized measurement variability at official stations, while probabilities clustered around 16–21°C capture uncertainty in exact minimum timing and sensor resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from the Italian Meteorological Service and any revised NWP runs could shift sentiment if observed values deviate from the current 22°C baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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