Recent high-resolution model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a stable anticyclone over northern Italy driving clear skies and strong diurnal heating for Milan on September 3, with afternoon peaks most likely reaching 31–32 °C. Light northeasterly flow, dew points near 15 °C, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation support efficient surface warming under peak insolation, while subsidence limits vertical mixing. Ensemble spread and minor differences in boundary-layer parameterization create the tight 31 °C versus 32 °C market split; a slightly stronger or delayed thermal trough could push the daily maximum one degree either way. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley shows similar late-summer highs under comparable synoptic setups, reinforcing trader focus on the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のミラノの最高気温は?
32°C 41%
31°C 40%
30°C 12%
33°C 7%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
40%
32°C
41%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
2%
32°C 41%
31°C 40%
30°C 12%
33°C 7%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
40%
32°C
41%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-resolution model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a stable anticyclone over northern Italy driving clear skies and strong diurnal heating for Milan on September 3, with afternoon peaks most likely reaching 31–32 °C. Light northeasterly flow, dew points near 15 °C, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation support efficient surface warming under peak insolation, while subsidence limits vertical mixing. Ensemble spread and minor differences in boundary-layer parameterization create the tight 31 °C versus 32 °C market split; a slightly stronger or delayed thermal trough could push the daily maximum one degree either way. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley shows similar late-summer highs under comparable synoptic setups, reinforcing trader focus on the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問