Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow’s overnight low on September 8 will likely fall between 5–8 °C, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air behind recent frontal passages and enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the market-implied odds near 5–7 °C in close contention, as small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next GFS/ECMWF runs and official Russian forecasts for any late adjustments to wind speed or nocturnal cloud trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のモスクワの最低気温は?
11°C 50%
12℃ 50%
6℃ 27%
5℃ 27%
4℃以下
1%
5℃
27%
6℃
27%
7°C
27%
8℃
27%
9°C
27%
10℃
1%
11°C
50%
12℃
50%
13°C
8%
14℃以上
1%
11°C 50%
12℃ 50%
6℃ 27%
5℃ 27%
4℃以下
1%
5℃
27%
6℃
27%
7°C
27%
8℃
27%
9°C
27%
10℃
1%
11°C
50%
12℃
50%
13°C
8%
14℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow’s overnight low on September 8 will likely fall between 5–8 °C, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air behind recent frontal passages and enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the market-implied odds near 5–7 °C in close contention, as small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next GFS/ECMWF runs and official Russian forecasts for any late adjustments to wind speed or nocturnal cloud trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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