Recent forecast model runs for Moscow show a frontal system bringing cooler, moist air, with ensemble guidance placing the Sept 6 minimum near 8–10 °C amid scattered showers. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between a 6 °C-or-below outcome and warmer readings at 16 °C or higher because small shifts in overnight cloud cover, wind direction, or precipitation timing can alter the low by several degrees. Historical September minima average near 9.7 °C, yet current guidance exhibits wider spread than typical for early September, keeping probabilities for intermediate values such as 7–14 °C more fragmented. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のモスクワの最低気温は?
6℃以下 100%
16°C以上 98%
7℃ 50%
8°C 50%
6℃以下
100%
7℃
50%
8°C
50%
9℃
26%
10℃
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13℃
2%
14℃
50%
15℃
8%
16°C以上
98%
6℃以下 100%
16°C以上 98%
7℃ 50%
8°C 50%
6℃以下
100%
7℃
50%
8°C
50%
9℃
26%
10℃
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13℃
2%
14℃
50%
15℃
8%
16°C以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Moscow show a frontal system bringing cooler, moist air, with ensemble guidance placing the Sept 6 minimum near 8–10 °C amid scattered showers. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between a 6 °C-or-below outcome and warmer readings at 16 °C or higher because small shifts in overnight cloud cover, wind direction, or precipitation timing can alter the low by several degrees. Historical September minima average near 9.7 °C, yet current guidance exhibits wider spread than typical for early September, keeping probabilities for intermediate values such as 7–14 °C more fragmented. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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