Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
9月11日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
5°C以下 46%
15℃以上 40%
10°C 30%
11℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
5°C以下
46%
6°C
2%
7°C
11%
8°C
23%
9℃
27%
10°C
30%
11℃
27%
12°C
9%
13°C
16%
14℃
18%
15℃以上
40%
5°C以下 46%
15℃以上 40%
10°C 30%
11℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
5°C以下
$119 Vol.
46%
6°C
$373 Vol.
2%
7°C
$13 Vol.
11%
8°C
$0 Vol.
23%
9℃
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11℃
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$571 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14℃
$0 Vol.
18%
15℃以上
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,076終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,076終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETEnsemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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