Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
9月24日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
2℃以下 100%
12℃以上 98%
5℃ 40%
6℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
2℃以下
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5℃
40%
6℃
40%
7°C
40%
8℃
39%
9℃
39%
10℃
39%
11°C
39%
12℃以上
98%
2℃以下 100%
12℃以上 98%
5℃ 40%
6℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
2℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
3°C
$0 Vol.
39%
4°C
$0 Vol.
39%
5℃
$0 Vol.
40%
6℃
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8℃
$0 Vol.
39%
9℃
$0 Vol.
39%
10℃
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 24 around 8–10 °C, consistent with the long-term September average low near 9 °C. Clear overnight skies and light winds favor radiative cooling that could push readings several degrees lower, while increasing mid-level cloud or a modest southerly flow would limit the drop. Model spreads remain wide enough that both sub-3 °C and above-11 °C outcomes retain meaningful probability, keeping the 2 °C-or-below and 12 °C-or-higher contracts nearly even at roughly 50 % and 49 % implied odds. The next operational runs and DWD guidance will narrow the range ahead of the overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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