Forecast models for Paris on September 17 indicate an overnight minimum near 12–13°C, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and wind speed. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, potentially driving the low toward 11°C or below, while increased low-level moisture and light southwesterly flow limit heat loss and support a 13–14°C floor. Official guidance from European models shows minor run-to-run variability in boundary-layer stability, consistent with the tight market spread. Historical September minima average around 12°C, providing context for why small shifts in observed dew points or pressure gradients could resolve the 12°C versus 13°C question as real-time data updates arrive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のパリの最低気温は?
13℃ 40%
11°C 15%
10°C 3%
8°C以下 <1%
8°C以下
1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
41%
13℃
36%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
13℃ 40%
11°C 15%
10°C 3%
8°C以下 <1%
8°C以下
1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
41%
13℃
36%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Paris on September 17 indicate an overnight minimum near 12–13°C, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and wind speed. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, potentially driving the low toward 11°C or below, while increased low-level moisture and light southwesterly flow limit heat loss and support a 13–14°C floor. Official guidance from European models shows minor run-to-run variability in boundary-layer stability, consistent with the tight market spread. Historical September minima average around 12°C, providing context for why small shifts in observed dew points or pressure gradients could resolve the 12°C versus 13°C question as real-time data updates arrive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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