**Stable high-pressure conditions and light winds are driving the market's focus on a 19°C low for Incheon on September 13.** Global Forecast System runs and other models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight, with temperatures bottoming out near 19°C (66–67°F) in the early morning hours amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures near 1020 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or advection of warmer air. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the 18–20°C range under similar patterns, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 17–20°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum from the latest model guidance, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing or wind shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
19℃ 40%
20°C 27%
18°C 19%
21℃ 5%
16℃以下
1%
17℃
3%
18°C
19%
19℃
40%
20°C
27%
21℃
5%
22℃
1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
19℃ 40%
20°C 27%
18°C 19%
21℃ 5%
16℃以下
1%
17℃
3%
18°C
19%
19℃
40%
20°C
27%
21℃
5%
22℃
1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Stable high-pressure conditions and light winds are driving the market's focus on a 19°C low for Incheon on September 13.** Global Forecast System runs and other models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight, with temperatures bottoming out near 19°C (66–67°F) in the early morning hours amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures near 1020 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or advection of warmer air. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the 18–20°C range under similar patterns, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 17–20°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum from the latest model guidance, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing or wind shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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