Recent model consensus for Shenzhen points to a September 1 low near 24–26 °C, reflecting the seasonal shift toward drier northeast monsoon flow that advects cooler continental air while subtropical high pressure limits daytime heating. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy or clearing skies, modulated by local humidity near 80 % and light northerly winds, will determine how far temperatures drop below the 25–26 °C cluster favored by traders. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any lingering moisture from late-August fronts creates the tight spread between 22 °C-or-below and mid-20s outcomes; updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の深センの最低気温は？
9月1日の深センの最低気温は？
22°C or below 86%
24°C 85%
23°C 84%
26°C 51%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
22°C or below
86%
23°C
84%
24°C
85%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
26%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
2%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
48%
22°C or below 86%
24°C 85%
23°C 84%
26°C 51%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
86%
23°C
$0 Vol.
84%
24°C
$0 Vol.
85%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
51%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
50%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Shenzhen points to a September 1 low near 24–26 °C, reflecting the seasonal shift toward drier northeast monsoon flow that advects cooler continental air while subtropical high pressure limits daytime heating. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy or clearing skies, modulated by local humidity near 80 % and light northerly winds, will determine how far temperatures drop below the 25–26 °C cluster favored by traders. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any lingering moisture from late-August fronts creates the tight spread between 22 °C-or-below and mid-20s outcomes; updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Shenzhen points to a September 1 low near 24–26 °C, reflecting the seasonal shift toward drier northeast monsoon flow that advects cooler continental air while subtropical high pressure limits daytime heating. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy or clearing skies, modulated by local humidity near 80 % and light northerly winds, will determine how far temperatures drop below the 25–26 °C cluster favored by traders. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any lingering moisture from late-August fronts creates the tight spread between 22 °C-or-below and mid-20s outcomes; updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus for Shenzhen points to a September 1 low near 24–26 °C, reflecting the seasonal shift toward drier northeast monsoon flow that advects cooler continental air while subtropical high pressure limits daytime heating. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy or clearing skies, modulated by local humidity near 80 % and light northerly winds, will determine how far temperatures drop below the 25–26 °C cluster favored by traders. Variability in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any lingering moisture from late-August fronts creates the tight spread between 22 °C-or-below and mid-20s outcomes; updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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