Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C on August 30 amid widespread moderate to heavy rain and persistent cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–28°C, with several official and ensemble runs centering on 25–26°C under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Elevated moisture and precipitation enhance this moderation relative to drier historical baselines around 25°C. Trader consensus on 25–26°C reflects these near-term model outputs, though small shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the exact minimum before resolution. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の深センの最低気温は?
25°C 73%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
30°C 48%
23°C or below
-
24°C
49%
25°C
73%
26°C
44%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
46%
25°C 73%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
30°C 48%
23°C or below
-
24°C
49%
25°C
73%
26°C
44%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C on August 30 amid widespread moderate to heavy rain and persistent cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–28°C, with several official and ensemble runs centering on 25–26°C under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Elevated moisture and precipitation enhance this moderation relative to drier historical baselines around 25°C. Trader consensus on 25–26°C reflects these near-term model outputs, though small shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the exact minimum before resolution. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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