Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy Saturday with scattered showers possible across the Kanto region, producing a daytime high near 22°C and overnight low around 19°C, though model spreads introduce notable uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September normals place Tokyo’s late-month lows near 18°C, with day-to-night swings widening as seasonal cooling sets in. A strong ongoing El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +3°C, favors warmer regional baselines overall, yet short-term steering patterns and rainfall timing remain the dominant variables that could push the daily minimum either below 15°C under persistent cloud cover or above 23°C if clearer, drier air arrives. Traders appear evenly split because the next 48-hour forecast updates and any revisions to precipitation timing will likely resolve the tight contest between the sub-15°C and 24°C-plus brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月26日の東京の最低気温は？
9月26日の東京の最低気温は？
18℃ 45%
14℃以下 43%
15°C 32%
16°C 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
14℃以下
43%
15°C
32%
16°C
32%
17℃
18%
18℃
45%
19℃
32%
20℃
15%
21℃
8%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24℃以上
1%
18℃ 45%
14℃以下 43%
15°C 32%
16°C 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
43%
15°C
$0 Vol.
32%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17℃
$0 Vol.
18%
18℃
$16 Vol.
45%
19℃
$0 Vol.
32%
20℃
$0 Vol.
15%
21℃
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy Saturday with scattered showers possible across the Kanto region, producing a daytime high near 22°C and overnight low around 19°C, though model spreads introduce notable uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September normals place Tokyo’s late-month lows near 18°C, with day-to-night swings widening as seasonal cooling sets in. A strong ongoing El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +3°C, favors warmer regional baselines overall, yet short-term steering patterns and rainfall timing remain the dominant variables that could push the daily minimum either below 15°C under persistent cloud cover or above 23°C if clearer, drier air arrives. Traders appear evenly split because the next 48-hour forecast updates and any revisions to precipitation timing will likely resolve the tight contest between the sub-15°C and 24°C-plus brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$16終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy Saturday with scattered showers possible across the Kanto region, producing a daytime high near 22°C and overnight low around 19°C, though model spreads introduce notable uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September normals place Tokyo’s late-month lows near 18°C, with day-to-night swings widening as seasonal cooling sets in. A strong ongoing El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +3°C, favors warmer regional baselines overall, yet short-term steering patterns and rainfall timing remain the dominant variables that could push the daily minimum either below 15°C under persistent cloud cover or above 23°C if clearer, drier air arrives. Traders appear evenly split because the next 48-hour forecast updates and any revisions to precipitation timing will likely resolve the tight contest between the sub-15°C and 24°C-plus brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$16終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy Saturday with scattered showers possible across the Kanto region, producing a daytime high near 22°C and overnight low around 19°C, though model spreads introduce notable uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September normals place Tokyo’s late-month lows near 18°C, with day-to-night swings widening as seasonal cooling sets in. A strong ongoing El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +3°C, favors warmer regional baselines overall, yet short-term steering patterns and rainfall timing remain the dominant variables that could push the daily minimum either below 15°C under persistent cloud cover or above 23°C if clearer, drier air arrives. Traders appear evenly split because the next 48-hour forecast updates and any revisions to precipitation timing will likely resolve the tight contest between the sub-15°C and 24°C-plus brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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