Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant position for Morena in seat projections, leaving the contest for second place tightly clustered among opposition and coalition parties. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to PRI, PT, MC, PAN, and PVEM, reflecting the fragmented nature of the opposition and the mixed records of smaller coalition partners in prior cycles. Historical seat allocations after the 2024 vote, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and the absence of unified opposition polling leads, sustain this balance. Scheduled events such as candidate nominations and early surveys could shift positioning, while any consolidation among PAN, PRI, and MC or changes in coalition alignment might widen gaps before the June 2027 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PVEM 81%
PT 50%
PRI 46%
MC 45%
新規
新規
2027/06/06
PAN
-
PRI
46%
PT
50%
PVEM
81%
MC
45%
Morena
2%
PVEM 81%
PT 50%
PRI 46%
MC 45%
新規
新規
2027/06/06
PAN
$96 Vol.
-
PRI
$1 Vol.
46%
PT
$1 Vol.
50%
PVEM
$1 Vol.
81%
MC
$1 Vol.
45%
Morena
$148 Vol.
2%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant position for Morena in seat projections, leaving the contest for second place tightly clustered among opposition and coalition parties. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to PRI, PT, MC, PAN, and PVEM, reflecting the fragmented nature of the opposition and the mixed records of smaller coalition partners in prior cycles. Historical seat allocations after the 2024 vote, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and the absence of unified opposition polling leads, sustain this balance. Scheduled events such as candidate nominations and early surveys could shift positioning, while any consolidation among PAN, PRI, and MC or changes in coalition alignment might widen gaps before the June 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
音量
$249終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant position for Morena in seat projections, leaving the contest for second place tightly clustered among opposition and coalition parties. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to PRI, PT, MC, PAN, and PVEM, reflecting the fragmented nature of the opposition and the mixed records of smaller coalition partners in prior cycles. Historical seat allocations after the 2024 vote, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and the absence of unified opposition polling leads, sustain this balance. Scheduled events such as candidate nominations and early surveys could shift positioning, while any consolidation among PAN, PRI, and MC or changes in coalition alignment might widen gaps before the June 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
音量
$249終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant position for Morena in seat projections, leaving the contest for second place tightly clustered among opposition and coalition parties. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to PRI, PT, MC, PAN, and PVEM, reflecting the fragmented nature of the opposition and the mixed records of smaller coalition partners in prior cycles. Historical seat allocations after the 2024 vote, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and the absence of unified opposition polling leads, sustain this balance. Scheduled events such as candidate nominations and early surveys could shift positioning, while any consolidation among PAN, PRI, and MC or changes in coalition alignment might widen gaps before the June 2027 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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