Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative elections, reflecting sustained polling advantages and structural advantages from its 2024 victories that delivered supermajorities in both chambers of Congress. Recent opinion surveys continue to show the party capturing the largest share of intended votes for the Chamber of Deputies, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC, amid opposition fragmentation. Developments since mid-2025, including Morena’s May 2026 leadership transition to Ariadna Montiel Reyes and Claudia Sheinbaum’s continued executive role, have reinforced internal organization ahead of contests for all 500 deputy seats and 17 governorships. While some surveys note modest declines in party favorability, the gap over challengers remains wide, and no major electoral or coalition shifts have altered the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日モレナ 89.7%
PAN 8.9%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 Vol.
$98,891 Vol.
2027/06/05
モレナ
90%
PAN
9%
PRI
1%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
モレナ 89.7%
PAN 8.9%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 Vol.
$98,891 Vol.
2027/06/05
モレナ
$55,412 Vol.
90%
PAN
$15,664 Vol.
9%
PRI
$7,219 Vol.
1%
MC
$8,408 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,047 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative elections, reflecting sustained polling advantages and structural advantages from its 2024 victories that delivered supermajorities in both chambers of Congress. Recent opinion surveys continue to show the party capturing the largest share of intended votes for the Chamber of Deputies, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC, amid opposition fragmentation. Developments since mid-2025, including Morena’s May 2026 leadership transition to Ariadna Montiel Reyes and Claudia Sheinbaum’s continued executive role, have reinforced internal organization ahead of contests for all 500 deputy seats and 17 governorships. While some surveys note modest declines in party favorability, the gap over challengers remains wide, and no major electoral or coalition shifts have altered the positioning.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$98,891終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative elections, reflecting sustained polling advantages and structural advantages from its 2024 victories that delivered supermajorities in both chambers of Congress. Recent opinion surveys continue to show the party capturing the largest share of intended votes for the Chamber of Deputies, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC, amid opposition fragmentation. Developments since mid-2025, including Morena’s May 2026 leadership transition to Ariadna Montiel Reyes and Claudia Sheinbaum’s continued executive role, have reinforced internal organization ahead of contests for all 500 deputy seats and 17 governorships. While some surveys note modest declines in party favorability, the gap over challengers remains wide, and no major electoral or coalition shifts have altered the positioning.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
音量
$98,891終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative elections, reflecting sustained polling advantages and structural advantages from its 2024 victories that delivered supermajorities in both chambers of Congress. Recent opinion surveys continue to show the party capturing the largest share of intended votes for the Chamber of Deputies, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC, amid opposition fragmentation. Developments since mid-2025, including Morena’s May 2026 leadership transition to Ariadna Montiel Reyes and Claudia Sheinbaum’s continued executive role, have reinforced internal organization ahead of contests for all 500 deputy seats and 17 governorships. While some surveys note modest declines in party favorability, the gap over challengers remains wide, and no major electoral or coalition shifts have altered the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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