New York's 16th congressional district carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the more reliably Democratic seats nationally and underpinning trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed through the June 23 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support in a district where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance in similar urban and suburban New York seats. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though none currently register as active threats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,444 Vol.
$35,444 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
1%
$35,444 Vol.
$35,444 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$25,309 Vol.
95%
共和党
$10,134 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 16th congressional district carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the more reliably Democratic seats nationally and underpinning trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed through the June 23 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support in a district where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance in similar urban and suburban New York seats. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though none currently register as active threats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$35,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 16th congressional district carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the more reliably Democratic seats nationally and underpinning trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed through the June 23 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support in a district where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance in similar urban and suburban New York seats. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though none currently register as active threats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 16th congressional district carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index, ranking it among the more reliably Democratic seats nationally and underpinning trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed through the June 23 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support in a district where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance in similar urban and suburban New York seats. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though none currently register as active threats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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