Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district after winning the 2024 general election by a wide margin and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary. The district, covering southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, contributing to nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as safe for the party. With Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility and resources, traders have priced in a high implied probability for Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national electoral realignment before November, though current structural factors limit such prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,084 Vol.
$38,084 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$38,084 Vol.
$38,084 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$27,674 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,410 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district after winning the 2024 general election by a wide margin and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary. The district, covering southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, contributing to nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as safe for the party. With Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility and resources, traders have priced in a high implied probability for Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national electoral realignment before November, though current structural factors limit such prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$38,084終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district after winning the 2024 general election by a wide margin and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary. The district, covering southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, contributing to nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as safe for the party. With Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility and resources, traders have priced in a high implied probability for Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national electoral realignment before November, though current structural factors limit such prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$38,084終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district after winning the 2024 general election by a wide margin and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary. The district, covering southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, contributing to nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as safe for the party. With Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility and resources, traders have priced in a high implied probability for Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national electoral realignment before November, though current structural factors limit such prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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