Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,444 Vol.
$35,444 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$35,444 Vol.
$35,444 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$25,309 Vol.
95%
共和党
$10,134 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$35,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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