MrBeast's latest YouTube challenge video has solidified trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 78–79 million views on day 6, matching the official YouTube counter's verified tally as of the past 24 hours. This positioning stems from the upload's familiar trajectory—blasting past 50 million views in 48 hours via massive algorithmic push and cross-platform shares—before settling into a predictable plateau consistent with his past viral hits like survival stunts and cash giveaways. Real-time tracking from tools like SocialBlade confirms no upward momentum, with growth tapering amid competition from other creators. A realistic upset to 81M+ would demand a sudden external catalyst, such as a celebrity endorsement or TikTok remix explosion, but absent such sparks, the count remains firmly anchored.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日# of views of next MrBeast video day 6?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 6?
7,800万~7,900万 99.0%
79–80M 1.4%
7,600万未満 <1%
7,600万〜7,700万 <1%
$680,649 Vol.
$680,649 Vol.
7,600万未満
いいえ
7,600万〜7,700万
いいえ
7700万~7800万
いいえ
7,800万~7,900万
はい
79–80M
No
80–81M
No
81M+
No
7,800万~7,900万 99.0%
79–80M 1.4%
7,600万未満 <1%
7,600万〜7,700万 <1%
$680,649 Vol.
$680,649 Vol.
7,600万未満
いいえ
7,600万〜7,700万
いいえ
7700万~7800万
いいえ
7,800万~7,900万
はい
79–80M
No
80–81M
No
81M+
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
MrBeast's latest YouTube challenge video has solidified trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 78–79 million views on day 6, matching the official YouTube counter's verified tally as of the past 24 hours. This positioning stems from the upload's familiar trajectory—blasting past 50 million views in 48 hours via massive algorithmic push and cross-platform shares—before settling into a predictable plateau consistent with his past viral hits like survival stunts and cash giveaways. Real-time tracking from tools like SocialBlade confirms no upward momentum, with growth tapering amid competition from other creators. A realistic upset to 81M+ would demand a sudden external catalyst, such as a celebrity endorsement or TikTok remix explosion, but absent such sparks, the count remains firmly anchored.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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