Catherine Trautmann's lead in trader consensus at 53% stems from her designation as the Socialist Party candidate following a recent primary win, bolstered by her prior tenure as Strasbourg mayor from 2001 to 2008 and strong polling among left-leaning voters amid France's shifting municipal landscape. Incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian holds 30.5% implied probability, supported by her 2020 victory but challenged by coalition fatigue and urban policy critiques. Jean-Philippe Vetter's 21.5% reflects right-wing consolidation under Les Républicains, gaining from national center-right momentum yet trailing in diverse Strasbourg. Recent opinion surveys and candidate announcements have tightened odds, with the 2026 election vote set for March, leaving room for endorsements or debates to shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日カトリーヌ・トロートマン 50%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン 31%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル 23%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
カトリーヌ・トロートマン
54%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン
31%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル
23%
カトリーヌ・トロートマン 50%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン 31%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル 23%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
カトリーヌ・トロートマン
$513 Vol.
54%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン
$1,312 Vol.
31%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル
$390 Vol.
23%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
音量
$2,215終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$2,215終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Catherine Trautmann's lead in trader consensus at 53% stems from her designation as the Socialist Party candidate following a recent primary win, bolstered by her prior tenure as Strasbourg mayor from 2001 to 2008 and strong polling among left-leaning voters amid France's shifting municipal landscape. Incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian holds 30.5% implied probability, supported by her 2020 victory but challenged by coalition fatigue and urban policy critiques. Jean-Philippe Vetter's 21.5% reflects right-wing consolidation under Les Républicains, gaining from national center-right momentum yet trailing in diverse Strasbourg. Recent opinion surveys and candidate announcements have tightened odds, with the 2026 election vote set for March, leaving room for endorsements or debates to shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問