Trader consensus slightly favors "No" at 53.5% as Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) officially resigned on April 13 amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations, but Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) show no signs of following suit despite mounting bipartisan calls for their expulsion or resignation. This competitive balance stems from the historical rarity of House expulsions—only six in over two centuries, requiring a majority floor vote—and the members' public defiance, offsetting momentum from the recent high-profile exits. Odds could tip toward "Yes" with adverse Ethics reports, expulsion resolutions, or forced resignations before May 31; toward "No" if probes fizzle or votes fail amid procedural delays and special election timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
$15,971 Vol.
新規
$15,971 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
新規
$15,971 Vol.
新規
$15,971 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus slightly favors "No" at 53.5% as Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) officially resigned on April 13 amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations, but Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) show no signs of following suit despite mounting bipartisan calls for their expulsion or resignation. This competitive balance stems from the historical rarity of House expulsions—only six in over two centuries, requiring a majority floor vote—and the members' public defiance, offsetting momentum from the recent high-profile exits. Odds could tip toward "Yes" with adverse Ethics reports, expulsion resolutions, or forced resignations before May 31; toward "No" if probes fizzle or votes fail amid procedural delays and special election timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
音量
$15,971終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus slightly favors "No" at 53.5% as Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) officially resigned on April 13 amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations, but Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) show no signs of following suit despite mounting bipartisan calls for their expulsion or resignation. This competitive balance stems from the historical rarity of House expulsions—only six in over two centuries, requiring a majority floor vote—and the members' public defiance, offsetting momentum from the recent high-profile exits. Odds could tip toward "Yes" with adverse Ethics reports, expulsion resolutions, or forced resignations before May 31; toward "No" if probes fizzle or votes fail amid procedural delays and special election timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,971終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus slightly favors "No" at 53.5% as Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) officially resigned on April 13 amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations, but Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) show no signs of following suit despite mounting bipartisan calls for their expulsion or resignation. This competitive balance stems from the historical rarity of House expulsions—only six in over two centuries, requiring a majority floor vote—and the members' public defiance, offsetting momentum from the recent high-profile exits. Odds could tip toward "Yes" with adverse Ethics reports, expulsion resolutions, or forced resignations before May 31; toward "No" if probes fizzle or votes fail amid procedural delays and special election timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問