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icon for Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?

Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?

icon for Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?

Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$15,203 Vol.

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$15,203 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) resigned from her seat in Florida's 20th Congressional District effective immediately on April 21, 2026, moments before a House Ethics Committee hearing on potential sanctions, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on her exit by May 31. This followed her January federal indictment on charges of stealing $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster funds for her 2022 campaign, prompting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion from members like Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Tim Burchett. The ethics panel's findings of House rule violations sealed her departure, leaving a vacancy ahead of a likely special election. While reversal is theoretically possible via House acceptance denial, no such precedent exists amid confirmed resignation and ongoing prosecution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,203
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) resigned from her seat in Florida's 20th Congressional District effective immediately on April 21, 2026, moments before a House Ethics Committee hearing on potential sanctions, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on her exit by May 31. This followed her January federal indictment on charges of stealing $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster funds for her 2022 campaign, prompting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion from members like Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Tim Burchett. The ethics panel's findings of House rule violations sealed her departure, leaving a vacancy ahead of a likely special election. While reversal is theoretically possible via House acceptance denial, no such precedent exists amid confirmed resignation and ongoing prosecution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,203
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シェイラ・シェルフィルス=マコーミックは5月31日までに米国下院議員を退任しますか?」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?」は$15.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?」の現在のフロントランナーは「シェイラ・シェルフィルス=マコーミックは5月31日までに米国下院議員を退任しますか?」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Sheila Cherfilus - McCormickが5月31日までにアメリカ合衆国下院議員に?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。