House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent prediction that the House will expel Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), citing "alarming facts" from the bipartisan House Ethics Committee's March finding of 25 violations—including campaign finance breaches and misuse of FEMA disaster funds—has driven trader consensus toward a 72% implied probability of her departure by May 31. Fellow Democrats and Rep. Nancy Mace have joined calls for resignation or expulsion, amid her ongoing federal indictment on 15 counts (trial delayed to February 2027). The full Ethics Committee plans sanctions post-April recess, potentially triggering a floor vote, while Cherfilus-McCormick vows to fight charges and retain her Florida's 20th District seat ahead of the August primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/05/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent prediction that the House will expel Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), citing "alarming facts" from the bipartisan House Ethics Committee's March finding of 25 violations—including campaign finance breaches and misuse of FEMA disaster funds—has driven trader consensus toward a 72% implied probability of her departure by May 31. Fellow Democrats and Rep. Nancy Mace have joined calls for resignation or expulsion, amid her ongoing federal indictment on 15 counts (trial delayed to February 2027). The full Ethics Committee plans sanctions post-April recess, potentially triggering a floor vote, while Cherfilus-McCormick vows to fight charges and retain her Florida's 20th District seat ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$3,892終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent prediction that the House will expel Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), citing "alarming facts" from the bipartisan House Ethics Committee's March finding of 25 violations—including campaign finance breaches and misuse of FEMA disaster funds—has driven trader consensus toward a 72% implied probability of her departure by May 31. Fellow Democrats and Rep. Nancy Mace have joined calls for resignation or expulsion, amid her ongoing federal indictment on 15 counts (trial delayed to February 2027). The full Ethics Committee plans sanctions post-April recess, potentially triggering a floor vote, while Cherfilus-McCormick vows to fight charges and retain her Florida's 20th District seat ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,892終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent prediction that the House will expel Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), citing "alarming facts" from the bipartisan House Ethics Committee's March finding of 25 violations—including campaign finance breaches and misuse of FEMA disaster funds—has driven trader consensus toward a 72% implied probability of her departure by May 31. Fellow Democrats and Rep. Nancy Mace have joined calls for resignation or expulsion, amid her ongoing federal indictment on 15 counts (trial delayed to February 2027). The full Ethics Committee plans sanctions post-April recess, potentially triggering a floor vote, while Cherfilus-McCormick vows to fight charges and retain her Florida's 20th District seat ahead of the August primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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