Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossing under $44 million in its third domestic weekend (95.5% implied probability), driven by tracking estimates of $35–45 million from Boxoffice Pro and industry outlets amid intensifying competition from new releases like Lee Cronin's The Mummy and lingering holdovers such as Project Hail Mary. The film's impressive $69 million second-weekend haul—down 47% from its record-shattering $132 million Easter-boosted debut—signals robust family audience demand and a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score fueling word-of-mouth, yet post-holiday slowdowns and front-loaded animation trends temper expectations for sustained multipliers akin to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. An upset above $44 million could materialize via exceptional walk-ups from positive buzz or underperforming rivals, though historical patterns for wide-release sequels suggest limited upside without a major catalyst before Sunday's close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スーパーマリオギャラクシームービー」3 rd Weekend Box Office
「スーパーマリオギャラクシームービー」3 rd Weekend Box Office
4,400万未満 95.5%
44〜48百万 3.6%
5,200万ドル超 <1%
4800万〜5200万 <1%
$38,844 Vol.
$38,844 Vol.
2026/04/20
4,400万未満
96%
44〜48百万
4%
4800万〜5200万
1%
5,200万ドル超
1%
4,400万未満 95.5%
44〜48百万 3.6%
5,200万ドル超 <1%
4800万〜5200万 <1%
$38,844 Vol.
$38,844 Vol.
2026/04/20
4,400万未満
$3,397 Vol.
96%
44〜48百万
$5,150 Vol.
4%
4800万〜5200万
$8,313 Vol.
1%
5,200万ドル超
$21,984 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossing under $44 million in its third domestic weekend (95.5% implied probability), driven by tracking estimates of $35–45 million from Boxoffice Pro and industry outlets amid intensifying competition from new releases like Lee Cronin's The Mummy and lingering holdovers such as Project Hail Mary. The film's impressive $69 million second-weekend haul—down 47% from its record-shattering $132 million Easter-boosted debut—signals robust family audience demand and a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score fueling word-of-mouth, yet post-holiday slowdowns and front-loaded animation trends temper expectations for sustained multipliers akin to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. An upset above $44 million could materialize via exceptional walk-ups from positive buzz or underperforming rivals, though historical patterns for wide-release sequels suggest limited upside without a major catalyst before Sunday's close.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
音量
$38,844終了日
2026/04/20マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossing under $44 million in its third domestic weekend (95.5% implied probability), driven by tracking estimates of $35–45 million from Boxoffice Pro and industry outlets amid intensifying competition from new releases like Lee Cronin's The Mummy and lingering holdovers such as Project Hail Mary. The film's impressive $69 million second-weekend haul—down 47% from its record-shattering $132 million Easter-boosted debut—signals robust family audience demand and a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score fueling word-of-mouth, yet post-holiday slowdowns and front-loaded animation trends temper expectations for sustained multipliers akin to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. An upset above $44 million could materialize via exceptional walk-ups from positive buzz or underperforming rivals, though historical patterns for wide-release sequels suggest limited upside without a major catalyst before Sunday's close.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$38,844終了日
2026/04/20マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossing under $44 million in its third domestic weekend (95.5% implied probability), driven by tracking estimates of $35–45 million from Boxoffice Pro and industry outlets amid intensifying competition from new releases like Lee Cronin's The Mummy and lingering holdovers such as Project Hail Mary. The film's impressive $69 million second-weekend haul—down 47% from its record-shattering $132 million Easter-boosted debut—signals robust family audience demand and a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score fueling word-of-mouth, yet post-holiday slowdowns and front-loaded animation trends temper expectations for sustained multipliers akin to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. An upset above $44 million could materialize via exceptional walk-ups from positive buzz or underperforming rivals, though historical patterns for wide-release sequels suggest limited upside without a major catalyst before Sunday's close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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