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icon for 「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

icon for 「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

10% 確率
Polymarket
新規
10% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No recent political developments or official actions indicate that DataRepublican (Jennica Pounds) is scheduled or expected to appear for public congressional testimony by the October 31 deadline.** As an independent data analyst and volunteer contributor to government efficiency efforts—known for AI-driven tracking of federal grants, NGO funding flows, and spending patterns—Pounds has gained visibility through social media amplification by figures including Elon Musk and Sen. Mike Lee, along with media interviews. However, she holds no formal executive or agency role that would trigger standard oversight hearings, and searches of reporting through mid-2026 show no committee invitations, announcements, or related legislative activity. Congressional testimony markets typically move on confirmed scheduling, witness lists from authorizing committees, or public statements from members signaling intent. With none evident here and the resolution window closing in roughly two months, trader consensus at 91.5% for “No” reflects the absence of catalysts that would normally shift implied probabilities. Late developments such as a sudden subpoena or high-profile referral could still alter the outlook, but none have materialized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$68
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No recent political developments or official actions indicate that DataRepublican (Jennica Pounds) is scheduled or expected to appear for public congressional testimony by the October 31 deadline.** As an independent data analyst and volunteer contributor to government efficiency efforts—known for AI-driven tracking of federal grants, NGO funding flows, and spending patterns—Pounds has gained visibility through social media amplification by figures including Elon Musk and Sen. Mike Lee, along with media interviews. However, she holds no formal executive or agency role that would trigger standard oversight hearings, and searches of reporting through mid-2026 show no committee invitations, announcements, or related legislative activity. Congressional testimony markets typically move on confirmed scheduling, witness lists from authorizing committees, or public statements from members signaling intent. With none evident here and the resolution window closing in roughly two months, trader consensus at 91.5% for “No” reflects the absence of catalysts that would normally shift implied probabilities. Late developments such as a sudden subpoena or high-profile referral could still alter the outlook, but none have materialized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$68
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。例えば、「はい」が10¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を10%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を10%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。