Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in Alabama's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93%, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's commanding lead in the May 19 Republican primary polls—63% in the latest Quantus Insights survey—and $11.8 million in fundraising as of late March reports, dwarfing rivals. Alabama's deep-red status, where Donald Trump won by 30 points in 2024, bolsters this positioning, with no Democratic contender mounting a credible threat; former Sen. Doug Jones leads his fragmented primary field but trailed Tuberville 53%-34% in a November Cygnal general election matchup. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, post-nomination scandal for the GOP nominee, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge, though historical base rates for incumbency-free GOP holds in the state exceed 90%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
93%
Democrat
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$2,312 거래량
93%
Democrat
$1,711 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in Alabama's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93%, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's commanding lead in the May 19 Republican primary polls—63% in the latest Quantus Insights survey—and $11.8 million in fundraising as of late March reports, dwarfing rivals. Alabama's deep-red status, where Donald Trump won by 30 points in 2024, bolsters this positioning, with no Democratic contender mounting a credible threat; former Sen. Doug Jones leads his fragmented primary field but trailed Tuberville 53%-34% in a November Cygnal general election matchup. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, post-nomination scandal for the GOP nominee, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge, though historical base rates for incumbency-free GOP holds in the state exceed 90%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$4,022종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in Alabama's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93%, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's commanding lead in the May 19 Republican primary polls—63% in the latest Quantus Insights survey—and $11.8 million in fundraising as of late March reports, dwarfing rivals. Alabama's deep-red status, where Donald Trump won by 30 points in 2024, bolsters this positioning, with no Democratic contender mounting a credible threat; former Sen. Doug Jones leads his fragmented primary field but trailed Tuberville 53%-34% in a November Cygnal general election matchup. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, post-nomination scandal for the GOP nominee, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge, though historical base rates for incumbency-free GOP holds in the state exceed 90%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$4,022종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in Alabama's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93%, driven by U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's commanding lead in the May 19 Republican primary polls—63% in the latest Quantus Insights survey—and $11.8 million in fundraising as of late March reports, dwarfing rivals. Alabama's deep-red status, where Donald Trump won by 30 points in 2024, bolsters this positioning, with no Democratic contender mounting a credible threat; former Sen. Doug Jones leads his fragmented primary field but trailed Tuberville 53%-34% in a November Cygnal general election matchup. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, post-nomination scandal for the GOP nominee, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge, though historical base rates for incumbency-free GOP holds in the state exceed 90%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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