Canada’s Liberal government, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election victories and floor crossings, ending years of minority rule. This institutional stability removes any procedural requirement or political incentive to advise dissolution of Parliament before the fixed-date election scheduled for October 2029. With the House of Commons firmly under Liberal control and no recent confidence votes, supply crises, or coalition breakdowns, traders assign near-certainty to no additional federal election being called by June 30. An abrupt reversal by the prime minister remains theoretically possible but lacks precedent once majority status is achieved.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$82,525 거래량
$82,525 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$82,525 거래량
$82,525 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s Liberal government, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election victories and floor crossings, ending years of minority rule. This institutional stability removes any procedural requirement or political incentive to advise dissolution of Parliament before the fixed-date election scheduled for October 2029. With the House of Commons firmly under Liberal control and no recent confidence votes, supply crises, or coalition breakdowns, traders assign near-certainty to no additional federal election being called by June 30. An abrupt reversal by the prime minister remains theoretically possible but lacks precedent once majority status is achieved.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
거래량
$82,525종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s Liberal government, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election victories and floor crossings, ending years of minority rule. This institutional stability removes any procedural requirement or political incentive to advise dissolution of Parliament before the fixed-date election scheduled for October 2029. With the House of Commons firmly under Liberal control and no recent confidence votes, supply crises, or coalition breakdowns, traders assign near-certainty to no additional federal election being called by June 30. An abrupt reversal by the prime minister remains theoretically possible but lacks precedent once majority status is achieved.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$82,525종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s Liberal government, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election victories and floor crossings, ending years of minority rule. This institutional stability removes any procedural requirement or political incentive to advise dissolution of Parliament before the fixed-date election scheduled for October 2029. With the House of Commons firmly under Liberal control and no recent confidence votes, supply crises, or coalition breakdowns, traders assign near-certainty to no additional federal election being called by June 30. An abrupt reversal by the prime minister remains theoretically possible but lacks precedent once majority status is achieved.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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