Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following by-elections on April 13, 2026, flipping key seats and eliminating prior minority government vulnerabilities that had fueled earlier snap election speculation after the 2025 federal contest. This stability reflects trader consensus at 95.3% for no further election by June 30, as majorities under Canada's Westminster system rarely face no-confidence votes or early dissolution within months of consolidating power. Historical precedents show incumbents with majorities typically serve full terms toward the fixed date around 2029. Upsets could arise from unforeseen scandals, leadership crises, or prorogation maneuvers, though such shifts remain low-probability in the short window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$78,392 거래량
$78,392 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$78,392 거래량
$78,392 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following by-elections on April 13, 2026, flipping key seats and eliminating prior minority government vulnerabilities that had fueled earlier snap election speculation after the 2025 federal contest. This stability reflects trader consensus at 95.3% for no further election by June 30, as majorities under Canada's Westminster system rarely face no-confidence votes or early dissolution within months of consolidating power. Historical precedents show incumbents with majorities typically serve full terms toward the fixed date around 2029. Upsets could arise from unforeseen scandals, leadership crises, or prorogation maneuvers, though such shifts remain low-probability in the short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
거래량
$78,392종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following by-elections on April 13, 2026, flipping key seats and eliminating prior minority government vulnerabilities that had fueled earlier snap election speculation after the 2025 federal contest. This stability reflects trader consensus at 95.3% for no further election by June 30, as majorities under Canada's Westminster system rarely face no-confidence votes or early dissolution within months of consolidating power. Historical precedents show incumbents with majorities typically serve full terms toward the fixed date around 2029. Upsets could arise from unforeseen scandals, leadership crises, or prorogation maneuvers, though such shifts remain low-probability in the short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$78,392종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party secured a parliamentary majority in the House of Commons following by-elections on April 13, 2026, flipping key seats and eliminating prior minority government vulnerabilities that had fueled earlier snap election speculation after the 2025 federal contest. This stability reflects trader consensus at 95.3% for no further election by June 30, as majorities under Canada's Westminster system rarely face no-confidence votes or early dissolution within months of consolidating power. Historical precedents show incumbents with majorities typically serve full terms toward the fixed date around 2029. Upsets could arise from unforeseen scandals, leadership crises, or prorogation maneuvers, though such shifts remain low-probability in the short window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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