Ontario Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seeking a fourth term, announced in a January 31 speech at the Progressive Conservative convention, anchors trader consensus at 87% against him departing as PC Party leader by year-end. Recent polls through March 2026, including Ipsos and Abacus Data surveys, show PCs maintaining a lead over rivals despite Liberal gains and pockets of high disapproval ratings around 65% in some tracking. Absent any caucus revolt, leadership challenge, or major scandal in the past 30 days—following the party's 2025 majority election win—traders view Ford's incumbency and polling edge as formidable barriers to near-term change, though tightening races and affordability concerns could pressure dynamics ahead of future votes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ontario Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seeking a fourth term, announced in a January 31 speech at the Progressive Conservative convention, anchors trader consensus at 87% against him departing as PC Party leader by year-end. Recent polls through March 2026, including Ipsos and Abacus Data surveys, show PCs maintaining a lead over rivals despite Liberal gains and pockets of high disapproval ratings around 65% in some tracking. Absent any caucus revolt, leadership challenge, or major scandal in the past 30 days—following the party's 2025 majority election win—traders view Ford's incumbency and polling edge as formidable barriers to near-term change, though tightening races and affordability concerns could pressure dynamics ahead of future votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
거래량
$734종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ontario Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seeking a fourth term, announced in a January 31 speech at the Progressive Conservative convention, anchors trader consensus at 87% against him departing as PC Party leader by year-end. Recent polls through March 2026, including Ipsos and Abacus Data surveys, show PCs maintaining a lead over rivals despite Liberal gains and pockets of high disapproval ratings around 65% in some tracking. Absent any caucus revolt, leadership challenge, or major scandal in the past 30 days—following the party's 2025 majority election win—traders view Ford's incumbency and polling edge as formidable barriers to near-term change, though tightening races and affordability concerns could pressure dynamics ahead of future votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$734종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ontario Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seeking a fourth term, announced in a January 31 speech at the Progressive Conservative convention, anchors trader consensus at 87% against him departing as PC Party leader by year-end. Recent polls through March 2026, including Ipsos and Abacus Data surveys, show PCs maintaining a lead over rivals despite Liberal gains and pockets of high disapproval ratings around 65% in some tracking. Absent any caucus revolt, leadership challenge, or major scandal in the past 30 days—following the party's 2025 majority election win—traders view Ford's incumbency and polling edge as formidable barriers to near-term change, though tightening races and affordability concerns could pressure dynamics ahead of future votes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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