Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10 meeting, reflecting Governor Tiff Macklem's March 18 decision to hold the overnight target steady at 2.25%—its level since late 2025—amid cooling inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, below the 2% target, while March employment rose by 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7%. Slim odds for a 25 basis point cut (7%) or larger decrease (3.8%) signal limited easing expectations, with an 8.5% chance of a hike underscoring caution on persistent core inflation risks. The April 29 announcement and mid-April March CPI release loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 87%
Increase 8%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
87%
Increase
8%
No change 87%
Increase 8%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
50+ bps decrease
$188 거래량
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 거래량
7%
No change
$3,569 거래량
87%
Increase
$804 거래량
8%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10 meeting, reflecting Governor Tiff Macklem's March 18 decision to hold the overnight target steady at 2.25%—its level since late 2025—amid cooling inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, below the 2% target, while March employment rose by 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7%. Slim odds for a 25 basis point cut (7%) or larger decrease (3.8%) signal limited easing expectations, with an 8.5% chance of a hike underscoring caution on persistent core inflation risks. The April 29 announcement and mid-April March CPI release loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$5,397종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10 meeting, reflecting Governor Tiff Macklem's March 18 decision to hold the overnight target steady at 2.25%—its level since late 2025—amid cooling inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, below the 2% target, while March employment rose by 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7%. Slim odds for a 25 basis point cut (7%) or larger decrease (3.8%) signal limited easing expectations, with an 8.5% chance of a hike underscoring caution on persistent core inflation risks. The April 29 announcement and mid-April March CPI release loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$5,397종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10 meeting, reflecting Governor Tiff Macklem's March 18 decision to hold the overnight target steady at 2.25%—its level since late 2025—amid cooling inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, below the 2% target, while March employment rose by 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7%. Slim odds for a 25 basis point cut (7%) or larger decrease (3.8%) signal limited easing expectations, with an 8.5% chance of a hike underscoring caution on persistent core inflation risks. The April 29 announcement and mid-April March CPI release loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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