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세계·파레이

아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월

Market icon
세계·파레이

아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월

3월 31

4월 30

12월 31

3월 31

4월 30

12월 31

아무것도 없음

62% 확률
Polymarket

$331,552 거래량

아무것도 없음

62% 확률
Polymarket

$331,552 거래량

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 62.5% for the March market after the month ended without any specified triggers materializing by March 31, 2026. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at the March 18 FOMC meeting, rejecting a rate cut amid one dissenting vote. The SAVE America Act stalled in Senate debate despite President Trump's push, falling short of passage. Texas Senate primaries on March 3 saw James Talarico win the Democratic nomination while John Cornyn advanced to a Republican runoff against Ken Paxton, leaving interpretation of "candidates" ambiguous pending certification. No Iranian regime collapse occurred despite war strains, and neither an election interference national emergency declaration nor Insurrection Act invocation by Trump took place. Markets await final primary resolution.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
거래량
$331,552
종료일
2026.03.31
마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 62.5% for the March market after the month ended without any specified triggers materializing by March 31, 2026. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at the March 18 FOMC meeting, rejecting a rate cut amid one dissenting vote. The SAVE America Act stalled in Senate debate despite President Trump's push, falling short of passage. Texas Senate primaries on March 3 saw James Talarico win the Democratic nomination while John Cornyn advanced to a Republican runoff against Ken Paxton, leaving interpretation of "candidates" ambiguous pending certification. No Iranian regime collapse occurred despite war strains, and neither an election interference national emergency declaration nor Insurrection Act invocation by Trump took place. Markets await final primary resolution.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
거래량
$331,552
종료일
2026.03.31
마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 62%의 "아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 62¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 62%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"은 총 $331.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 3, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"의 현재 유력 후보는 62%의 "아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 62%의 확률을 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"아무 일도 일어나지 않는다: 3월"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.