Polymarket traders price a 98% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its overnight policy rate at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting Governing Council guidance from the March 18 decision emphasizing balanced inflation and growth risks amid a cooling yet stable economy. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below the 2% target—while March labor data showed modest 14,000 job gains and steady 6.7% unemployment, signaling no urgent need for policy adjustment despite persistent global uncertainties like energy shocks and trade tensions. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with economist forecasts for holds through 2026. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI or sharper labor deterioration ahead of the announcement, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 98.0%
인상 1.1%
25bp 인하 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$100,225 거래량
$100,225 거래량
2026.04.29
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
1%
변동 없음
98%
인상
1%
변동 없음 98.0%
인상 1.1%
25bp 인하 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$100,225 거래량
$100,225 거래량
2026.04.29
50bp 이상 인하
$25,393 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$27,044 거래량
1%
변동 없음
$35,468 거래량
98%
인상
$12,320 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 98% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its overnight policy rate at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting Governing Council guidance from the March 18 decision emphasizing balanced inflation and growth risks amid a cooling yet stable economy. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below the 2% target—while March labor data showed modest 14,000 job gains and steady 6.7% unemployment, signaling no urgent need for policy adjustment despite persistent global uncertainties like energy shocks and trade tensions. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with economist forecasts for holds through 2026. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI or sharper labor deterioration ahead of the announcement, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$100,225종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 98% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its overnight policy rate at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting Governing Council guidance from the March 18 decision emphasizing balanced inflation and growth risks amid a cooling yet stable economy. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below the 2% target—while March labor data showed modest 14,000 job gains and steady 6.7% unemployment, signaling no urgent need for policy adjustment despite persistent global uncertainties like energy shocks and trade tensions. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with economist forecasts for holds through 2026. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI or sharper labor deterioration ahead of the announcement, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$100,225종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 98% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its overnight policy rate at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting Governing Council guidance from the March 18 decision emphasizing balanced inflation and growth risks amid a cooling yet stable economy. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year—below the 2% target—while March labor data showed modest 14,000 job gains and steady 6.7% unemployment, signaling no urgent need for policy adjustment despite persistent global uncertainties like energy shocks and trade tensions. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with economist forecasts for holds through 2026. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI or sharper labor deterioration ahead of the announcement, potentially prompting a 25 basis point cut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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