Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.9% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, which runs until 2028 following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death. No constitutional triggers—such as presidential death, resignation, or incapacity—have activated a required snap vote within 50 days, despite the Supreme Leader's assassination in late February 2026, a transitional council led by Pezeshkian, and the new Supreme Leader's selection by the Assembly of Experts in early March. Ongoing US-Iran military escalations and stalled diplomatic talks through April, including VP Vance's failed negotiations, have not disrupted the presidency or prompted early polls. Only Pezeshkian's sudden removal or regime directive could shift odds before the deadline.
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$199,888 거래량
$199,888 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$199,888 거래량
$199,888 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.9% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, which runs until 2028 following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death. No constitutional triggers—such as presidential death, resignation, or incapacity—have activated a required snap vote within 50 days, despite the Supreme Leader's assassination in late February 2026, a transitional council led by Pezeshkian, and the new Supreme Leader's selection by the Assembly of Experts in early March. Ongoing US-Iran military escalations and stalled diplomatic talks through April, including VP Vance's failed negotiations, have not disrupted the presidency or prompted early polls. Only Pezeshkian's sudden removal or regime directive could shift odds before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
거래량
$199,888종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.9% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, which runs until 2028 following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death. No constitutional triggers—such as presidential death, resignation, or incapacity—have activated a required snap vote within 50 days, despite the Supreme Leader's assassination in late February 2026, a transitional council led by Pezeshkian, and the new Supreme Leader's selection by the Assembly of Experts in early March. Ongoing US-Iran military escalations and stalled diplomatic talks through April, including VP Vance's failed negotiations, have not disrupted the presidency or prompted early polls. Only Pezeshkian's sudden removal or regime directive could shift odds before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$199,888종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.9% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, which runs until 2028 following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death. No constitutional triggers—such as presidential death, resignation, or incapacity—have activated a required snap vote within 50 days, despite the Supreme Leader's assassination in late February 2026, a transitional council led by Pezeshkian, and the new Supreme Leader's selection by the Assembly of Experts in early March. Ongoing US-Iran military escalations and stalled diplomatic talks through April, including VP Vance's failed negotiations, have not disrupted the presidency or prompted early polls. Only Pezeshkian's sudden removal or regime directive could shift odds before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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