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2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?

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2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?

12월 31

12월 31

오르반 - 헝가리 총리 93%

다카이치 - 일본 총리 1.8%

디아스카넬 - 쿠바 대통령 1.8%

트럼프 - 미국 대통령 <1%

Polymarket

$4,552,900 거래량

오르반 - 헝가리 총리 93%

다카이치 - 일본 총리 1.8%

디아스카넬 - 쿠바 대통령 1.8%

트럼프 - 미국 대통령 <1%

Polymarket

$4,552,900 거래량

오르반 - 헝가리 총리

$75,228 거래량

93%

다카이치 - 일본 총리

$388,528 거래량

2%

디아스카넬 - 쿠바 대통령

$95,033 거래량

2%

트럼프 - 미국 대통령

$272,686 거래량

1%

젤렌스키 - 우크라이나 대통령

$65,093 거래량

1%

페트로 - 콜롬비아 대통령

$82,481 거래량

1%

푸틴 - 러시아 대통령

$399,015 거래량

1%

아바스 - 팔레스타인 대통령

$159,995 거래량

<1%

네타냐후 - 이스라엘 총리

$1,058,939 거래량

<1%

산체스 - 스페인 총리

$50,294 거래량

<1%

로드리게스 - 베네수엘라 대통령 대행

$67,846 거래량

<1%

2027년 이전 없음

$66,662 거래량

<1%

마크롱 - 프랑스 대통령

$117,041 거래량

<1%

에르도안 - 튀르키예 대통령

$111,607 거래량

<1%

김정은 - 북한 최고지도자

$67,367 거래량

<1%

뉴섬 - 캘리포니아 주지사

$136,023 거래량

<1%

밀레이 - 아르헨티나 대통령

$70,943 거래량

<1%

스타머 - 영국 총리

$615,059 거래량

<1%

룰라 다 시우바 - 브라질 대통령

$113,441 거래량

<1%

르코르누 - 프랑스 총리

$127,829 거래량

<1%

셰인바움 - 멕시코 대통령

$91,907 거래량

<1%

알샤라 - 시리아 대통령

$91,636 거래량

<1%

시진핑 - 중국 공산당 총서기

$71,458 거래량

<1%

알바니즈 - 호주 총리

$86,447 거래량

<1%

메르츠 - 독일 총리

$70,351 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, delivered a decisive defeat to incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, ending his 16-year rule amid record turnout exceeding 77 percent—the highest in the nation's history. Opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a projected supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly, fueled by voter frustration over economic stagnation, corruption scandals, and Orbán's EU tensions and Ukraine policy. Orbán conceded the loss shortly after polls closed, cementing trader consensus at 92.5 percent that he exits power before 2027 as results finalize and a new government forms. Only a successful legal challenge or recount—deemed improbable given margins—could alter this trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$4,552,900
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, delivered a decisive defeat to incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, ending his 16-year rule amid record turnout exceeding 77 percent—the highest in the nation's history. Opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a projected supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly, fueled by voter frustration over economic stagnation, corruption scandals, and Orbán's EU tensions and Ukraine policy. Orbán conceded the loss shortly after polls closed, cementing trader consensus at 92.5 percent that he exits power before 2027 as results finalize and a new government forms. Only a successful legal challenge or recount—deemed improbable given margins—could alter this trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$4,552,900
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?"은 25개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 93%의 "오르반 - 헝가리 총리"이며, 이어서 2%의 "다카이치 - 일본 총리"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 93¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 93%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?"은 총 $4.6 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 3, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 25개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?"의 현재 유력 후보는 93%의 "오르반 - 헝가리 총리"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 93%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 2%의 "다카이치 - 일본 총리"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2027년 이전에 다음 지도자가 권좌에서 벗어났습니까?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.