The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent Genial/Quaest and other polling showing a technical tie or narrow ACM lead in first-round scenarios. Rodrigues benefits from steady approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s on education and infrastructure, while ACM Neto draws stronger support among independents and in urban centers amid criticism of crime and unfulfilled promises. National alignments, including União Brasil’s 2025 break with the Lula administration and ACM’s ties to right-wing blocs, add polarization. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility and the rematch dynamics from 2022, with separation likely hinging on Lula’s campaign role, alliance formations, security trends, and late-cycle economic or scandal developments ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
ACM Neto 45%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$35,682 거래량
$35,682 거래량
2026.10.04
Jerônimo Rodrigues
46%
ACM Neto
45%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
ACM Neto 45%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$35,682 거래량
$35,682 거래량
2026.10.04
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$10,261 거래량
46%
ACM Neto
$12,114 거래량
45%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,671 거래량
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$3,451 거래량
<1%
João Roma
$2,077 거래량
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$2,173 거래량
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,935 거래량
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent Genial/Quaest and other polling showing a technical tie or narrow ACM lead in first-round scenarios. Rodrigues benefits from steady approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s on education and infrastructure, while ACM Neto draws stronger support among independents and in urban centers amid criticism of crime and unfulfilled promises. National alignments, including União Brasil’s 2025 break with the Lula administration and ACM’s ties to right-wing blocs, add polarization. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility and the rematch dynamics from 2022, with separation likely hinging on Lula’s campaign role, alliance formations, security trends, and late-cycle economic or scandal developments ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
거래량
$35,682종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent Genial/Quaest and other polling showing a technical tie or narrow ACM lead in first-round scenarios. Rodrigues benefits from steady approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s on education and infrastructure, while ACM Neto draws stronger support among independents and in urban centers amid criticism of crime and unfulfilled promises. National alignments, including União Brasil’s 2025 break with the Lula administration and ACM’s ties to right-wing blocs, add polarization. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility and the rematch dynamics from 2022, with separation likely hinging on Lula’s campaign role, alliance formations, security trends, and late-cycle economic or scandal developments ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$35,682종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent Genial/Quaest and other polling showing a technical tie or narrow ACM lead in first-round scenarios. Rodrigues benefits from steady approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s on education and infrastructure, while ACM Neto draws stronger support among independents and in urban centers amid criticism of crime and unfulfilled promises. National alignments, including União Brasil’s 2025 break with the Lula administration and ACM’s ties to right-wing blocs, add polarization. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility and the rematch dynamics from 2022, with separation likely hinging on Lula’s campaign role, alliance formations, security trends, and late-cycle economic or scandal developments ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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