Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market clusters around 280-339 posts from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17 12:00 PM ET, with 300-319 leading at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting a steady pace of 41 qualifying posts per day (main feed originals, quotes, and reposts only) through late April 15 totaling 247. This pace, consistent with recent resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259, stems from Elon's routine engagement on Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, Semi updates, and viral South African political clashes over "Apartheid 2.0" claims against Ramaphosa's BEE policies. The tight race hinges on April 16-17 volume swings from potential news catalysts like SpaceX or xAI announcements, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits amid quieter news cycles. Resolution looms at noon ET April 17.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트300~319 37%
280~299 27.2%
320-339 20.2%
340~359 8.5%
$8,926,826 거래량
$8,926,826 거래량
2026.04.17
240~259
<1%
260~279
6%
280~299
27%
300~319
37%
320-339
20%
340~359
8%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400~419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580+
<1%
300~319 37%
280~299 27.2%
320-339 20.2%
340~359 8.5%
$8,926,826 거래량
$8,926,826 거래량
2026.04.17
240~259
$694,368 거래량
<1%
260~279
$438,095 거래량
6%
280~299
$361,238 거래량
27%
300~319
$299,257 거래량
37%
320-339
$368,529 거래량
20%
340~359
$285,513 거래량
8%
360-379
$283,534 거래량
3%
380-399
$277,480 거래량
1%
400~419
$226,364 거래량
<1%
420-439
$282,523 거래량
<1%
440-459
$469,564 거래량
<1%
460-479
$335,707 거래량
<1%
480~499
$329,730 거래량
<1%
500~519
$264,187 거래량
<1%
520~539
$266,458 거래량
<1%
540-559
$265,358 거래량
<1%
560~579
$183,725 거래량
<1%
580+
$348,990 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market clusters around 280-339 posts from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17 12:00 PM ET, with 300-319 leading at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting a steady pace of 41 qualifying posts per day (main feed originals, quotes, and reposts only) through late April 15 totaling 247. This pace, consistent with recent resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259, stems from Elon's routine engagement on Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, Semi updates, and viral South African political clashes over "Apartheid 2.0" claims against Ramaphosa's BEE policies. The tight race hinges on April 16-17 volume swings from potential news catalysts like SpaceX or xAI announcements, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits amid quieter news cycles. Resolution looms at noon ET April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$8,926,826종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market clusters around 280-339 posts from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17 12:00 PM ET, with 300-319 leading at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting a steady pace of 41 qualifying posts per day (main feed originals, quotes, and reposts only) through late April 15 totaling 247. This pace, consistent with recent resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259, stems from Elon's routine engagement on Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, Semi updates, and viral South African political clashes over "Apartheid 2.0" claims against Ramaphosa's BEE policies. The tight race hinges on April 16-17 volume swings from potential news catalysts like SpaceX or xAI announcements, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits amid quieter news cycles. Resolution looms at noon ET April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$8,926,826종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market clusters around 280-339 posts from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17 12:00 PM ET, with 300-319 leading at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting a steady pace of 41 qualifying posts per day (main feed originals, quotes, and reposts only) through late April 15 totaling 247. This pace, consistent with recent resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259, stems from Elon's routine engagement on Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, Semi updates, and viral South African political clashes over "Apartheid 2.0" claims against Ramaphosa's BEE policies. The tight race hinges on April 16-17 volume swings from potential news catalysts like SpaceX or xAI announcements, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits amid quieter news cycles. Resolution looms at noon ET April 17.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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