Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk from April 14-21, with 260-279 leading at 18.5% implied probability, reflecting his baseline posting rhythm of 30-37 daily updates as X's most-followed cultural provocateur averaging ~33 posts per day historically. Recent xTracker data shows subdued early-April activity—5 posts in the April 13-15 window per initial syncs—yet no verified shifts from controversies, travel, or platform tweaks have altered sentiment amid steady prior weekly resolutions near this range. Competitive dynamics turn on spike potential from viral SpaceX announcements, Tesla metrics buzz, or political hot takes, versus lulls during focused executive duties; watch for engagement surges as the week unfolds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트260-279 19%
240-259 17%
280~299 16%
300-319 13%
$3,167,050 거래량
$3,167,050 거래량
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140~159
<1%
160-179
1%
180~199
3%
200~219
5%
220~239
12%
240-259
17%
260-279
19%
280~299
16%
300-319
13%
320~339
8%
340~359
5%
360~379
3%
380~399
2%
400-419
1%
420~439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540~559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580개 이상
<1%
260-279 19%
240-259 17%
280~299 16%
300-319 13%
$3,167,050 거래량
$3,167,050 거래량
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140~159
<1%
160-179
1%
180~199
3%
200~219
5%
220~239
12%
240-259
17%
260-279
19%
280~299
16%
300-319
13%
320~339
8%
340~359
5%
360~379
3%
380~399
2%
400-419
1%
420~439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540~559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580개 이상
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk from April 14-21, with 260-279 leading at 18.5% implied probability, reflecting his baseline posting rhythm of 30-37 daily updates as X's most-followed cultural provocateur averaging ~33 posts per day historically. Recent xTracker data shows subdued early-April activity—5 posts in the April 13-15 window per initial syncs—yet no verified shifts from controversies, travel, or platform tweaks have altered sentiment amid steady prior weekly resolutions near this range. Competitive dynamics turn on spike potential from viral SpaceX announcements, Tesla metrics buzz, or political hot takes, versus lulls during focused executive duties; watch for engagement surges as the week unfolds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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