Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, calibrated against his recent blistering pace of 41 tweets per day through April 10-15, per Polymarket's XTracker data, but pricing in a likely weekend moderation amid patchy historical patterns. Surging engagement from viral clashes over South African empowerment laws, Tesla Semi showcases, and AI chip tapeouts like AI5 fueled the prior week's volume, while X's fresh Cashtags rollout and looming X Money payments launch sustain buzz without guaranteeing spikes. Lower bins like 40-64 (27.5%) reflect caution on off-peak days, as Musk's unpredictable posting—tied to breaking news and platform tweaks—keeps the market tightly contested with resolution hinging on official X counts by April 18.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트65-89 40%
40~64 28%
90-114 19%
115~139 10%
$159,666 거래량
$159,666 거래량
2026.04.18
40개 미만
4%
40~64
28%
65-89
40%
90-114
19%
115~139
10%
140~164
3%
165~189
1%
190-214
<1%
215~239
<1%
240개 이상
<1%
65-89 40%
40~64 28%
90-114 19%
115~139 10%
$159,666 거래량
$159,666 거래량
2026.04.18
40개 미만
$30,994 거래량
4%
40~64
$10,614 거래량
28%
65-89
$5,378 거래량
40%
90-114
$7,324 거래량
19%
115~139
$9,507 거래량
10%
140~164
$10,589 거래량
3%
165~189
$19,143 거래량
1%
190-214
$23,621 거래량
<1%
215~239
$12,442 거래량
<1%
240개 이상
$30,250 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, calibrated against his recent blistering pace of 41 tweets per day through April 10-15, per Polymarket's XTracker data, but pricing in a likely weekend moderation amid patchy historical patterns. Surging engagement from viral clashes over South African empowerment laws, Tesla Semi showcases, and AI chip tapeouts like AI5 fueled the prior week's volume, while X's fresh Cashtags rollout and looming X Money payments launch sustain buzz without guaranteeing spikes. Lower bins like 40-64 (27.5%) reflect caution on off-peak days, as Musk's unpredictable posting—tied to breaking news and platform tweaks—keeps the market tightly contested with resolution hinging on official X counts by April 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$159,666종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, calibrated against his recent blistering pace of 41 tweets per day through April 10-15, per Polymarket's XTracker data, but pricing in a likely weekend moderation amid patchy historical patterns. Surging engagement from viral clashes over South African empowerment laws, Tesla Semi showcases, and AI chip tapeouts like AI5 fueled the prior week's volume, while X's fresh Cashtags rollout and looming X Money payments launch sustain buzz without guaranteeing spikes. Lower bins like 40-64 (27.5%) reflect caution on off-peak days, as Musk's unpredictable posting—tied to breaking news and platform tweaks—keeps the market tightly contested with resolution hinging on official X counts by April 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$159,666종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16-18, calibrated against his recent blistering pace of 41 tweets per day through April 10-15, per Polymarket's XTracker data, but pricing in a likely weekend moderation amid patchy historical patterns. Surging engagement from viral clashes over South African empowerment laws, Tesla Semi showcases, and AI chip tapeouts like AI5 fueled the prior week's volume, while X's fresh Cashtags rollout and looming X Money payments launch sustain buzz without guaranteeing spikes. Lower bins like 40-64 (27.5%) reflect caution on off-peak days, as Musk's unpredictable posting—tied to breaking news and platform tweaks—keeps the market tightly contested with resolution hinging on official X counts by April 18.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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