Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 39.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, closely tracking the prior three-day window (April 13-15), which resolved in that exact bin after he posted steadily on topics like South African race laws, Tesla Semi updates, and AI hardware milestones. The adjacent 40-64 bucket at 27.5% reflects caution for potential weekend lulls in his X posting cadence, averaging around 25 per day amid routine engagements without blockbuster catalysts like product launches or political firestorms. Higher ranges trail due to recent stability, though viral spikes from breaking news could accelerate volume before the period closes April 18 at noon ET.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트65-89 40%
40~64 28%
90-114 19%
115~139 10%
$157,452 거래량
$157,452 거래량
2026.04.18
40개 미만
4%
40~64
28%
65-89
40%
90-114
19%
115~139
10%
140~164
3%
165~189
1%
190-214
<1%
215~239
<1%
240개 이상
<1%
65-89 40%
40~64 28%
90-114 19%
115~139 10%
$157,452 거래량
$157,452 거래량
2026.04.18
40개 미만
$30,959 거래량
4%
40~64
$10,587 거래량
28%
65-89
$5,353 거래량
40%
90-114
$7,313 거래량
19%
115~139
$9,488 거래량
10%
140~164
$10,514 거래량
3%
165~189
$18,589 거래량
1%
190-214
$23,601 거래량
<1%
215~239
$11,042 거래량
<1%
240개 이상
$30,069 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 39.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, closely tracking the prior three-day window (April 13-15), which resolved in that exact bin after he posted steadily on topics like South African race laws, Tesla Semi updates, and AI hardware milestones. The adjacent 40-64 bucket at 27.5% reflects caution for potential weekend lulls in his X posting cadence, averaging around 25 per day amid routine engagements without blockbuster catalysts like product launches or political firestorms. Higher ranges trail due to recent stability, though viral spikes from breaking news could accelerate volume before the period closes April 18 at noon ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$157,452종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 39.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, closely tracking the prior three-day window (April 13-15), which resolved in that exact bin after he posted steadily on topics like South African race laws, Tesla Semi updates, and AI hardware milestones. The adjacent 40-64 bucket at 27.5% reflects caution for potential weekend lulls in his X posting cadence, averaging around 25 per day amid routine engagements without blockbuster catalysts like product launches or political firestorms. Higher ranges trail due to recent stability, though viral spikes from breaking news could accelerate volume before the period closes April 18 at noon ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$157,452종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 39.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, closely tracking the prior three-day window (April 13-15), which resolved in that exact bin after he posted steadily on topics like South African race laws, Tesla Semi updates, and AI hardware milestones. The adjacent 40-64 bucket at 27.5% reflects caution for potential weekend lulls in his X posting cadence, averaging around 25 per day amid routine engagements without blockbuster catalysts like product launches or political firestorms. Higher ranges trail due to recent stability, though viral spikes from breaking news could accelerate volume before the period closes April 18 at noon ET.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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