Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, with 260-279 leading at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent recent pace of 34-42 posts per day seen in the prior week's April 13-15 tally of 69 posts over roughly two days. This steady high-volume engagement—driven by real-time responses to Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political discourse—fuels the narrow frontrunners, as traders weigh his platform ownership amplifying viral moments against potential lulls from business demands. Key swing factors include breaking news catalysts or controversy spikes that could push toward 300+, while upcoming daily trackers and no major scheduled events keep the race competitive and unpredictable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트260~279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$821,940 거래량
$821,940 거래량
<20
<1%
20~39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140~159
1%
160~179
1%
180~199
3%
200~219
6%
220~239
10%
240-259
16%
260~279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320~339
8%
340~359
5%
360~379
3%
380~399
3%
400-419
1%
420~439
1%
440-459
1%
460~479
1%
480-499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580개 이상
<1%
260~279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$821,940 거래량
$821,940 거래량
<20
<1%
20~39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140~159
1%
160~179
1%
180~199
3%
200~219
6%
220~239
10%
240-259
16%
260~279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320~339
8%
340~359
5%
360~379
3%
380~399
3%
400-419
1%
420~439
1%
440-459
1%
460~479
1%
480-499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580개 이상
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, with 260-279 leading at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent recent pace of 34-42 posts per day seen in the prior week's April 13-15 tally of 69 posts over roughly two days. This steady high-volume engagement—driven by real-time responses to Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political discourse—fuels the narrow frontrunners, as traders weigh his platform ownership amplifying viral moments against potential lulls from business demands. Key swing factors include breaking news catalysts or controversy spikes that could push toward 300+, while upcoming daily trackers and no major scheduled events keep the race competitive and unpredictable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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